Is It Too Late to Buy Microsoft Stock Now? | The Motley Fool (2024)

The company's dominant role in tech will likely fuel its stock for years.

Microsoft's (MSFT -1.59%) stock has soared 466,000% since it went public in 1986. The company has a history of delivering impressive returns thanks to a potent position in tech and consistent reinvestment in its business.

In fact, an early investment in ChatGPT developer OpenAI allowed Microsoft to get a headstart in artificial intelligence (AI), boosting its share price by 89% since the start of 2023. The company rallied investors with AI integration across its various software platforms and impressive earnings growth.

Microsoft has come a long way in its nearly 50 years of business, recently the world's second-most valuable company by market cap (only after Apple). However, Microsoft is only just getting started in key growth markets like artificial intelligence and cloud computing, suggesting plenty of room to run.

So, despite impressive gains over the years, it's not too late to invest long term in Microsoft. Here's why.

Dominating multiple sectors of tech

As the home of brands like Windows, Office, Xbox, Azure, and LinkedIn, Microsoft wears many hats. The company is dominant in multiple industries, from operating systems to productivity software, video games, cloud computing, and even social media. Meanwhile, consistent reinvestment in its business means it has reliably expanded alongside the tech industry, and earnings reflect this.

In the third quarter of 2024 (which ended in March), Microsoft's revenue increased by 17% year over year, outperforming Wall Street estimates by more than $1 billion. The company's productivity and intelligent cloud segments posted sales growth of 12% and 21%, respectively, benefiting from the introduction of new AI services in its Office suite and cloud platform Azure.

AI monetization is clearly paying off. However, a 17% jump in its more personal-computing segment also illustrates the diversification of Microsoft's business. The company attributed much of the growth to its Xbox brand. Microsoft said in its Q3 earnings report, "Xbox content and services revenue increased 62%, driven by 61 points of net impact from the Activision Blizzard acquisition."

Microsoft completed its purchase of Activision last October, granting it ownership of lucrative game franchises like Call of Duty, World of Warcraft, Overwatch, and more. The acquisition quickly boosted Microsoft's revenue, giving it access to a wealth of content that's already earning through in-game purchases and by allowing the company to expand its game-subscription platform, Xbox Game Pass.

In addition to impressive revenue gains, Microsoft's operating income climbed 23% year over year in Q3 after double-digit growth in all three of its primary segments. The company is profiting from growth throughout its business, with earnings only likely to continue rising as its AI, cloud, and gaming divisions develop.

Is Microsoft worth its premium stock price?

Microsoft's stock trades at 34 times its forward earnings, indicating it's not the biggest bargain. Meanwhile, its forward price-to-sales (P/S) ratio is similarly high, at about 12.

These metrics are helpful in determining a stock's value as they consider a company's financial standing. Forward price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is calculated by dividing a company's share price by its estimated earnings per share. Meanwhile, forward P/S divides share price by estimated sales per share.

For both metrics, the lower the figure, the better the value.

Is It Too Late to Buy Microsoft Stock Now? | The Motley Fool (1)

Data by YCharts.

However, the metrics alone don't always tell the whole story. This chart shows Microsoft's forward P/E and P/S are only slightly above their five-year averages, suggesting the company's stock isn't too expensive to consider.

Moreover, Microsoft's total revenue hit $212 billion in fiscal 2023. Yet, revenue estimates for 2024 are at $280 billion and are expected to hit $321 billion the following year. The figures represent a more than 50% increase in sales over two years.

Considering its earnings have only just begun to reflect its investment in AI and recent gaming acquisition, Microsoft likely has much more growth to offer in the coming years. In fact, the AI market on its own was worth just under $200 billion in 2023 and is expanding at a rate that would see it achieve nearly $2 trillion by the end of the decade. Meanwhile, the company is gradually expanding its presence in the sector with generative features on Azure and its Office productivity suite.

Microsoft has long been known for consistent growth and innovation. So, despite considerable gains in recent years, it's not too late to profit from the company's long-term future.

Dani Cook has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Apple and Microsoft. The Motley Fool recommends the following options: long January 2026 $395 calls on Microsoft and short January 2026 $405 calls on Microsoft. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Is It Too Late to Buy Microsoft Stock Now? | The Motley Fool (2024)

FAQs

Is it too late to buy Microsoft stocks? ›

In addition to its diversified business model, potent role in tech, and vast cash reserves, Microsoft remains an attractive long-term investment. Its solid outlook suggests it is not too late to still enjoy major gains from this tech giant in the coming years.

Is it a good time to invest in Microsoft now? ›

Microsoft (MSFT)

The 200-day moving average remains bullish and has risen above 410. Therefore, so long as Microsoft stock keeps above the 200-day line, it is now a buy again. Be wary of buying too far above the 200-day line. Ideally, IBD suggests it's best not to buy further than 5% above the moving average.

How high will Microsoft go in 2024? ›

Highlights and Key Points: Microsoft Share Price Forecast 2024–2030. As of 29.08. 2024, Microsoft (MSFT) stocks are trading at $410.46. A lot of analysts anticipate that Microsoft's shares will decline and reach $420 - $434 range by the end of 2024.

How high will Microsoft stock be in 5 years? ›

Microsoft Stocks Price Target for 2030
YearPrice Target% Change From Current Price
2024$495.00Upside of 18.69%
2025$548.00Upside of 31.40%
2026$633.00Upside of 51.78%
2027$652.00Upside of 56.34%
3 more rows
7 days ago

Should I keep or sell Microsoft stock? ›

Microsoft has 22.97% upside potential, based on the analysts' average price target. Is MSFT a Buy, Sell or Hold? Microsoft has a consensus rating of Strong Buy which is based on 31 buy ratings, 0 hold ratings and 0 sell ratings. The average price target for Microsoft is $504.91.

What will Microsoft stock be worth in 2030? ›

However, most analysts believe the stock will settle between $850 and $1,000. These Microsoft stock forecasts for 2030 are based on current trends in AI and cloud computing, continued innovation, and the company's strategic growth initiatives, positioning Microsoft for sustained long-term value.

Will Microsoft hit $500? ›

Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT) has been rallying since the start of the month, but the recent run-up for Microsoft stock could soon taper off. This could simply mean sideways price action a while.

What is the most recent prediction for Microsoft stock? ›

Microsoft Stock Forecast

The 33 analysts with 12-month price forecasts for Microsoft stock have an average target of 493.97, with a low estimate of 375 and a high estimate of 600. The average target predicts an increase of 20.91% from the current stock price of 408.56. * Price targets were last updated on Jul 31, 2024.

What will Microsoft stock be worth in 2025? ›

Microsoft (MSFT) Stock Price Prediction in 2025

The current consensus 1-year price target for Microsoft stock is $480.90, which is a 16.27% upside from today's stock price of $413.61. Of all the analysts covering Microsoft, the stock is a consensus buy, with a 1.33 “Buy” rating.

Where will Amazon stock be in 5 years? ›

Of the 47 analysts who recommended Amazon in June, 44 rated it a buy or a strong buy. Forecasters predict that Amazon will reach $200 per share a year from now and will continue to rise to $250 per share at the end of 2026. In 2027, the prediction is for a price of $300, and $250 by the end of 2028.

Will Microsoft stock go back up? ›

We expect the stock to still trade at a similar multiple next year, putting our estimate for the stock price for Microsoft at $548.00 in 2025, which is 33.99% higher than the stock is trading today. Going into 2026, we estimate the price to be $633.00. This represents a 54.77% gain over today's share price of $409.00.

What is the future of Microsoft? ›

Microsoft's growth probably won't cool off anytime soon. From fiscal 2023 to fiscal 2026, analysts expect its revenue and EPS to grow at CAGRs of 14% and 16%, respectively, as it continues to expand its cloud, AI, and gaming ecosystems.

Is Microsoft good for long term investment? ›

However, stellar gains over the years, a potent position in technology, and vast financial resources indicate that Microsoft's stock is worth its premium price tag. The company's share price will likely continue trending up over the long term, making it an excellent option for patient investors.

What is the highest Microsoft stock price ever? ›

Microsoft - 38 Year Stock Price History | MSFT
  • The all-time high Microsoft stock closing price was 466.73 on July 05, 2024.
  • The Microsoft 52-week high stock price is 468.35, which is 12.3% above the current share price.
  • The Microsoft 52-week low stock price is 309.45, which is 25.8% below the current share price.

What is the true value of Microsoft stock? ›

As of today (2024-09-02), Microsoft's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $138.73. The stock price of Microsoft is $417.14. Therefore, Microsoft's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 3.0.

Is it ever too late to buy stocks? ›

So, it really isn't ever too late to start. Yes, time matters, but time is on your side for a lot longer than you may think.

What is the stock price prediction for Microsoft in 2027? ›

Still, while reaching four-digit prices may stay a stretch goal, hitting $800 or $900 per share by 2027 could be within reach. At least, if we assume AI demand growth forecasts are on the money. If these forecasts prove accurate, Microsoft stands to beat expectations in the years ahead.

Is Microsoft stock overpriced? ›

The intrinsic value of one MSFT stock under the Base Case scenario is 315.32 USD. Compared to the current market price of 417.14 USD, Microsoft Corp is Overvalued by 24%.

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